Development Bank Research Bulletin

Understanding the Wealth of Nations, and Making Capitalism Work for Everyone

Minimum Wage, China vs India: Is Cheap Labor the Real Answer for China’s Success in Manufacturing?

May 2006 ChinaIndiaGlobal Economy

China has been said to be the World’s factory and cheap labor is said to be the reason why China attracts most of the manufacturing activities away from developed countries. But minimum wage in China’s manufacturing sector is between two to three times that of India.

Chicago Economists Produce a Paper on How War in Iraq Helps Save Iraqi Lives

March 2006 Academic ResearchCurrent Issues

Steven J. Davis, Kevin M. Murphy, and Robert H. Topel, three famous economics professors in the University of Chicago, publish a working paper on how war in Iraq may help save Iraqi lives.

China and India: Who Is Hot in 2006? What Do Investment Banks Think?

February 2006 ChinaIndiaInvestment

Most investment banks have already released their forecast of GDP growth rates for India and China. Let’s see what they think about these two competitors’ prospects.

Fix Mexico’s Banks, Not China’s

January 2006 BankingEconomic Policy

It always puzzled and shocked me that some Latin American and Eastern European countries have private credit to GDP ratios of merely some 30%. What can you do with so little credit?

Why Is India’s Financial System Less Solvent than China’s?

February 2006 BankingIndia

There is this popular view that India is blessed by a sound and efficient financial system, while China will be troubled by the huge amount of non-performing loans. The reality is more nuanced.

Chinese GDP Grows by 10.2% in First Quarter: Domestic Politics and the Boom-Bust Cycle

April 2006 ChinaCurrent Issues

In the first quarter of 2006, Chinese economy grew at 10.2%, which is the fastest in the past ten years. Anyone familiar with the political-business cycle in China will be surprised.

Year-Half Assessment of Investment Banks’ Forecast Accuracy on China’s GDP Growth

July 2006 ChinaInvestment

In the first half of 2006, China was growing at unprecedented pace, at 10.9%. Only Credit Suisse’s forecast was in line with the actual outcome.